Saturday, November 14, 2009

Looking to the week ahead...

We have enjoyed yet another nice day across the Tri-State! It was beautiful, with highs around 66 (as of 4 PM) at the Cincinnati/N KY International Airport, as well as at Dayton and Columbus.

Well, I hope you enjoyed that - because we won't reach that mark again for at least the next week after tomorrow.

Our weather pattern looks to change in the next 48 hours, as a cool front comes into the area tomorrow evening. Before that...one more day of 60 degree weather tomorrow. I'm calling for a high of 62, but some locations will get to around 66 or 67 one more time, mainly south and east. We'll be partly sunny most of the day, with clouds moving in and becoming more widespread late.

As the front moves into the area on Sunday night, we'll turn cloudy. But...one change from this morning - the front looks to come in dry. There's just not enough lift or forcing for any rain - consequently even the 20 percent chance of rain is out of the forecast, but I can't rule out an isolated shower west/northwest of town in the early evening. That front could stall along the river on Monday - so I'm hesitant to make a temperature forecast at this time especially as models want to put KY into the warm sector. For now, will go with a high of 60, but reserve my right to change it on Sunday.

Now...there's some uncertainty beyond this point, so follow me here. By Tuesday, a closed low somewhere near St. Louis will begin moving north. Because it's closed off from the jet stream, it won't move fast. That low starts bringing moisture into our area on Wednesday, so I'm inclined to introduce a 30 percent chance of rain, and by Thursday rain seems to be a 50/50 shot, then Friday is the best threat of rain with a front finally forcing its way through the area. Saturday should finally see the rain end and drying moving in.

Bottom line, an unsettled, cooler pattern looks to take hold - so enjoy the 66 and sunshine you had today...

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