We're backtracking a tiny bit... but snow is still LIKELY on Thursday.
The 0z runs last night... well, it didn't look good. They were drier and things were just not looking good.
But...the 12Z's came back, and are higher. The Canadian and European both indicate a surface low over Eastern Kentucky. The Canadian actually gives us possibly 6 inches or more. The Global does not, and as for the North American...it's still outside the NAM's range.
Because of the uncertainty, I'm going with an EARLY CALL of at LEAST 2-4" - with maybe more. We're not in the GFS' "Butter Zone" yet, indeed we're not even close - GFS doesn't usually lock in until within 48 hours. We will know more by around 2 PM tomorrow as to what it looks like. Again, the European and Canadian both show the surface low in E KY. The GFS does not... it's that surface low that would bring us significant snow.
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