Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Tuesday: Not Looking Good Tonight, Again on Friday

Good morning friends,

Friday is not looking like a good day in terms of weather...but I'll get to that shortly.

Taking a look first at today... This morning, the Tri-State is dry but clouds are overspreading the area. But look at all that rain to the south and west!



That rain moves in this afternoon and tonight. It should reach areas like Carrollton, Dry Ridge, and Falmouth before rush hour. After that, the metro area should see the rain by this evening, and the entire area will be socked in by the midnight hour. Rain will then continue through the night and early Wednesday looks soaking wet...rush hour could be dicey.

As we head through Wednesday, clouds will dominate most of the day, but we could see partial clearing late in the day along and west of the Indiana borders with Ohio and Kentucky. I'd say at this point the western half of our area clears out partially...while the eastern half stays cloudy.

The bigger potential problem could be on Friday. After a dry and warm Thursday (temperatures could be around 70 - and then really skyrocketing on Friday, possibly mid 70s across the southern reaches of our coverage area?), another cold front approaches on Friday. We'll definitely be in the warm sector. The contrast between our 70+ degree warm air and colder, 50-degree air to the northwest should provide a good bit of instability. As a consequence, depending on how much sunshine we get, we might see some severe weather on Friday and Friday night.

Winds will also pick up late day on Friday out of the southeast. Southeast winds tend to make it harder for rain to occur, so I think we do stay dry a good portion of Friday before we finally saturate the air and bring rain in late Friday afternoon.

As it looks right now, Saturday looks wet for us, before we dry it out on Sunday and drop temperatures into the 50s.

Make it a great day,

Forecaster Jeremy Moses

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