HEAT EMERGENCY REMAINS IN EFFECT in the City of Cincinnati Through This Evening
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TODAY FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE
9:25 AM CVG 81° Mostly Sunny; Lunken 78° Fair; Hamilton 79° Fair; Wilmington 75° Fair
Today it looks pretty much like more of the same as yesterday. The HEAT EMERGENCY remains in effect, and may need extension as temperatures don't look to cool down anytime soon.
However, as we go through the afternoon, showers and storms should pop in some spots. Where they do form, one or two storms *MAY* be strong to severe; any storm could contain heavy rainfall with the moist airmass over our area, so keep this in mind if you live in a flood-prone area. Storms should mostly diminish after sunset.
More sunshine could lead to some storm development on Tuesday, as well. These would be scattered, diurnal (daytime fed) showers and storms, and would dissipate after sunset.
The best threat of rain appears to be late Wednesday into early Thursday.
~Jeremy Moses
Monday, June 21, 2010
Sunday, June 20, 2010
The Heat Is On Still...
HEAT EMERGENCY still in effect for the City of Cincinnati through Monday
5:30 AM (As of 5 AM observations) - CVG 69°, Fair; Lunken 66°, Fog; Hamilton 68°, Fair; Wilmington 65°, Fair
The heat stays on across the area, and the result of this is continued risk for heat illnesses to those who are most vulnerable to the hot temperatures. Heat index values of 95° or higher are possible today and Monday in the city of Cincinnati, and less likely across northern Kentucky.
As we go through the day today look for mostly sunny skies, but a few clouds could form across the area later. There is no chance for rain today. Temperatures should reach 90 degrees.
For tonight, don't look for much if any relief especially from the city south as we get down to the upper 60s.
Monday looks okay if you like sunshine and hot summertime temperatures. The first official full day of summer on Tuesday still looks hot, too. Both days do have some chance of showers and storms, particularly late in the day, and highs will be in the lower 90s. I'm calling for 92 on Monday and 93 on Tuesday. (The city of Cincinnati may have to extend the heat emergency beyond Monday, at least, as heat indices could EASILY reach 100 degrees Tuesday with dewpoints in the lower 70s!)
The next best chance of showers and storms is probably on Wednesday.
~Jeremy Moses
5:30 AM (As of 5 AM observations) - CVG 69°, Fair; Lunken 66°, Fog; Hamilton 68°, Fair; Wilmington 65°, Fair
The heat stays on across the area, and the result of this is continued risk for heat illnesses to those who are most vulnerable to the hot temperatures. Heat index values of 95° or higher are possible today and Monday in the city of Cincinnati, and less likely across northern Kentucky.
As we go through the day today look for mostly sunny skies, but a few clouds could form across the area later. There is no chance for rain today. Temperatures should reach 90 degrees.
For tonight, don't look for much if any relief especially from the city south as we get down to the upper 60s.
Monday looks okay if you like sunshine and hot summertime temperatures. The first official full day of summer on Tuesday still looks hot, too. Both days do have some chance of showers and storms, particularly late in the day, and highs will be in the lower 90s. I'm calling for 92 on Monday and 93 on Tuesday. (The city of Cincinnati may have to extend the heat emergency beyond Monday, at least, as heat indices could EASILY reach 100 degrees Tuesday with dewpoints in the lower 70s!)
The next best chance of showers and storms is probably on Wednesday.
~Jeremy Moses
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Same Song and Dance - AGAIN
6:45 AM CVG 67°, Fog/Mist
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE UNTIL 8:00 AM WEDNESDAY
Severe thunderstorms developed for yet another day across the area. This makes day four of severe weather or flash flooding being reported SOMEWHERE in Indiana, Ohio or Kentucky.
Well, today look for it to be day 5... I know you're getting tired of it, and believe me, I'm about as tired of reporting it.
Showers and storms could develop at anytime after 2-3 PM, and once more could become severe and/or contain heavy rainfall. I CANNOT rule out any type of severe weather, however, look for damaging winds to be the biggest threat.
Tonight WILL be the last night of it...as the cold front that's hung around for four days will FINALLY push off to the southeast and AWAY from the Cincinnati area - which will finally allow you and anybody else that had damage to assess such...including, sadly, the folks at Solid Rock Church. That is where the "Touchdown Jesus" statue you would see along I-75 near Monroe burned to the ground last night, and all that is left is the skeleton metal frame. Along with that, it appears their amphitheater was partially destroyed.
In any case, Wednesday looks much better with a high in the middle 80s.
Thursday and Friday look to remain dry, too with highs approaching 90. We won't see a cooldown anytime soon...or at least in the next 3-4 days. In fact, if the humidity goes up again, look for heat advisories to be needed possibly by the end of the weekend.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE UNTIL 8:00 AM WEDNESDAY
Severe thunderstorms developed for yet another day across the area. This makes day four of severe weather or flash flooding being reported SOMEWHERE in Indiana, Ohio or Kentucky.
Well, today look for it to be day 5... I know you're getting tired of it, and believe me, I'm about as tired of reporting it.
Showers and storms could develop at anytime after 2-3 PM, and once more could become severe and/or contain heavy rainfall. I CANNOT rule out any type of severe weather, however, look for damaging winds to be the biggest threat.
Tonight WILL be the last night of it...as the cold front that's hung around for four days will FINALLY push off to the southeast and AWAY from the Cincinnati area - which will finally allow you and anybody else that had damage to assess such...including, sadly, the folks at Solid Rock Church. That is where the "Touchdown Jesus" statue you would see along I-75 near Monroe burned to the ground last night, and all that is left is the skeleton metal frame. Along with that, it appears their amphitheater was partially destroyed.
In any case, Wednesday looks much better with a high in the middle 80s.
Thursday and Friday look to remain dry, too with highs approaching 90. We won't see a cooldown anytime soon...or at least in the next 3-4 days. In fact, if the humidity goes up again, look for heat advisories to be needed possibly by the end of the weekend.
Sunday, June 13, 2010
Flood Threat Continues Today
7:30 AM CVG: 70°, Partly Cloudy
Yet more flooding developed yesterday across the area:
-- Butler County reported water over parts of Cincinnati-Brookville Road; flooding in Ross, Morgan and parts of Hanover Townships; a water rescue in the 2600 block of Ross-Millville Road
-- Colerain Township in Hamilton County: Flooding along part of Blanchetta Street; flooding near Royal Glen Apartment Complex; several evacuations
-- Independence area, Kenton County: Flash flooding in the areas flooded Wednesday
-- Clermont County: A few homes flooded in New Richmond; Flooding near Felicity
-- Brown County: Bullskin Creek flooded again, causing Dunbar Road to close at the same spot where two boys were swept to their deaths. (Both bodies, sadly, have now been recovered: Justin Devercelly's body was found last night at Meldahl Dam.)
-- Dearborn County: Flooding was reported near St. Leon.
Today, the Tri-State could see still more rain it doesn't need on wet soil that can't hold anything else. Up to 1.5" of rain MAY fall today. Just this week, Cincinnati's airport has received almost 4" of rain! That's just since Wednesday morning! Some locations have received more than that - another 1.5" of rain would push a few locales to as much as 5" for the weekend! We're going to be watching carefully all afternoon. The National Weather Service may need to yet AGAIN issue a Flash Flood Watch later today.
Stay with twitter.com/NKYWx for the latest.
Yet more flooding developed yesterday across the area:
-- Butler County reported water over parts of Cincinnati-Brookville Road; flooding in Ross, Morgan and parts of Hanover Townships; a water rescue in the 2600 block of Ross-Millville Road
-- Colerain Township in Hamilton County: Flooding along part of Blanchetta Street; flooding near Royal Glen Apartment Complex; several evacuations
-- Independence area, Kenton County: Flash flooding in the areas flooded Wednesday
-- Clermont County: A few homes flooded in New Richmond; Flooding near Felicity
-- Brown County: Bullskin Creek flooded again, causing Dunbar Road to close at the same spot where two boys were swept to their deaths. (Both bodies, sadly, have now been recovered: Justin Devercelly's body was found last night at Meldahl Dam.)
-- Dearborn County: Flooding was reported near St. Leon.
Today, the Tri-State could see still more rain it doesn't need on wet soil that can't hold anything else. Up to 1.5" of rain MAY fall today. Just this week, Cincinnati's airport has received almost 4" of rain! That's just since Wednesday morning! Some locations have received more than that - another 1.5" of rain would push a few locales to as much as 5" for the weekend! We're going to be watching carefully all afternoon. The National Weather Service may need to yet AGAIN issue a Flash Flood Watch later today.
Stay with twitter.com/NKYWx for the latest.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Tragic News on That Brown County Search for Two
There is sad news to report on the search for two Brown County, Ohio boys.
One boy's body was found this morning around 11:00 AM, about 1.5 miles from the command post set up for the search. It's where the boys are thought to have entered the water.
Here's the story from Cincinnati CBS affiliate WKRC-TV 12.
One boy's body was found this morning around 11:00 AM, about 1.5 miles from the command post set up for the search. It's where the boys are thought to have entered the water.
Here's the story from Cincinnati CBS affiliate WKRC-TV 12.
A body found this morning near Smith's Landing in Brown County has been identified as 8 year-old Blake Devercelly.
Rescue crews recovered his body around 11:00 am in their search for two missing brothers along a rain swollen Bullskin Creek.
They were last seen heading down to check out the rising water in Brown County's Lewis Township Wednesday afternoon.
We're told the boys, 8 year-old Blake Devercelly and 11 year-old Justin Devercelly, went out to watch the creek rising, and that is the last time they were seen.
After resuming the search this morning, one body was found around 11:00 am about 1 1/2 miles from where the children disappeared.
The search continues for Justin.
Rescue workers searched by land and air for six hours Wednesday evening, but could not locate the boys.
The boys vanished near the creek along Dunbar Road. That's the south west portion of the county very near the Clermont County line. The boys are from Felicity, and were at their babysitter's house when they went to watch the rising creek.
Local 12 is at the search area and will closely monitor any new information on the rescue effort.
Flood Threat Update
6:00 PM: CVG 83°, Partly Cloudy, Heat Index 82°
Today was a VERY nice, sunny Thursday, after the rough Wednesday we had. (See the previous post for more details.)
Tonight expect clear skies and temperatures dropping into the lower 60s. It will be a great night for grilling out or any other activities you have planned.
For Friday, I expect clouds to increase and cannot rule out a few showers and thunderstorms in the late afternoon. If we can destabilize the atmosphere enough then I cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorm or two. Our highs will reach the upper 80s and near 90 degrees.
The bigger, and more complex, problem comes Saturday. A vorticity maximum (in layman's terms, a disturbance in the atmosphere) will swing across the area. This could kick off more showers and storms; this is where the best threat for ANY severe thunderstorms across the Tri-State will be. Precipitable Water values of 1.75" to 2" are forecast by most of the computer forecast models - and that would result in flooding issues given what we saw yesterday, so keep that in mind if you live near a creek or stream, or in an area that flooded yesterday.
After that, it now looks as though we'll keep the threat of some showers or storms around into Monday, as we've seen that continuity I've been looking for in the computers - therefore we'll keep that chance around through Monday and then dry things out Tuesday except for the southern part of the forecast area.
-- Jeremy Moses
Today was a VERY nice, sunny Thursday, after the rough Wednesday we had. (See the previous post for more details.)
Tonight expect clear skies and temperatures dropping into the lower 60s. It will be a great night for grilling out or any other activities you have planned.
For Friday, I expect clouds to increase and cannot rule out a few showers and thunderstorms in the late afternoon. If we can destabilize the atmosphere enough then I cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorm or two. Our highs will reach the upper 80s and near 90 degrees.
The bigger, and more complex, problem comes Saturday. A vorticity maximum (in layman's terms, a disturbance in the atmosphere) will swing across the area. This could kick off more showers and storms; this is where the best threat for ANY severe thunderstorms across the Tri-State will be. Precipitable Water values of 1.75" to 2" are forecast by most of the computer forecast models - and that would result in flooding issues given what we saw yesterday, so keep that in mind if you live near a creek or stream, or in an area that flooded yesterday.
After that, it now looks as though we'll keep the threat of some showers or storms around into Monday, as we've seen that continuity I've been looking for in the computers - therefore we'll keep that chance around through Monday and then dry things out Tuesday except for the southern part of the forecast area.
-- Jeremy Moses
Dry Today, More Humid Tomorrow, More Flash Flooding Ahead?
5:00 AM CVG: 64°, Fair
It was a WILD ride across northern Kentucky Wednesday afternoon. Here's a few reports received:
-- Flooding closed the left lane, both directions on I-75/71 at US 42 in Florence.
-- Flooding closed a portion of Zig Zag Road, just off Kentucky State Route 18, between Florence and Burlington and a water rescue occurred in that same area when Limaburg Creek rose out of its banks.
-- High water blocked portions of Turkeyfoot, Bristow, and Stevenson roads in Kenton County. Banklick Creek came out of its banks in Independence, KY.
-- Two boys were reportedly swept away and are feared drowned in Brown County when Bullskin Creek flooded Wednesday afternoon.
All of this, from 2 to four inches of rain in a four hour time span across areas from Western Ripley County, Indiana, across Dearborn County, through extreme northern Kentucky, into southern Clermont County and ultimately into Central Brown County.
Now, we watch the waters slowly recede...and now our attention turns to the very next storm to the west.
Until it arrives, expect warm weather. Highs today will be around 84° and lows tonight in the lower to middle 60s.
Friday, we'll already begin to see the effects of that next storm, as a warm front lifts northbound across our area Friday afternoon. Then, Saturday a disturbance will move very slowly across the Tri-State. The direct result of both the warm front on Friday, and the disturbance on Saturday points to showers and thunderstorms becoming likely especially Saturday. Due to the already saturated ground across the areas where yesterday's rain fell... I expect that flash flooding is a distinct possibility on Saturday. You'll need to stay with Tri-State Weather Watch here on Twitter at NKYWx for the latest. Our highs on Friday will approach the 90 degree mark! It'll be HOT and HUMID...so take it easy out there.
Either way, right now it looks like things clear out Sunday and we should be okay through Tuesday of next week...although yesterday's 0z European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting model, or ECMWF, did want to keep things wet in that time frame. I'm not buying it and apparently neither is NWS Wilmington, so I'll keep things dry through that time period. If I see indications this weekend that things will change, I'll put rain in the forecast but right now, I see nothing past Saturday to worry about.
Jeremy Moses
It was a WILD ride across northern Kentucky Wednesday afternoon. Here's a few reports received:
-- Flooding closed the left lane, both directions on I-75/71 at US 42 in Florence.
-- Flooding closed a portion of Zig Zag Road, just off Kentucky State Route 18, between Florence and Burlington and a water rescue occurred in that same area when Limaburg Creek rose out of its banks.
-- High water blocked portions of Turkeyfoot, Bristow, and Stevenson roads in Kenton County. Banklick Creek came out of its banks in Independence, KY.
-- Two boys were reportedly swept away and are feared drowned in Brown County when Bullskin Creek flooded Wednesday afternoon.
All of this, from 2 to four inches of rain in a four hour time span across areas from Western Ripley County, Indiana, across Dearborn County, through extreme northern Kentucky, into southern Clermont County and ultimately into Central Brown County.
Now, we watch the waters slowly recede...and now our attention turns to the very next storm to the west.
Until it arrives, expect warm weather. Highs today will be around 84° and lows tonight in the lower to middle 60s.
Friday, we'll already begin to see the effects of that next storm, as a warm front lifts northbound across our area Friday afternoon. Then, Saturday a disturbance will move very slowly across the Tri-State. The direct result of both the warm front on Friday, and the disturbance on Saturday points to showers and thunderstorms becoming likely especially Saturday. Due to the already saturated ground across the areas where yesterday's rain fell... I expect that flash flooding is a distinct possibility on Saturday. You'll need to stay with Tri-State Weather Watch here on Twitter at NKYWx for the latest. Our highs on Friday will approach the 90 degree mark! It'll be HOT and HUMID...so take it easy out there.
Either way, right now it looks like things clear out Sunday and we should be okay through Tuesday of next week...although yesterday's 0z European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting model, or ECMWF, did want to keep things wet in that time frame. I'm not buying it and apparently neither is NWS Wilmington, so I'll keep things dry through that time period. If I see indications this weekend that things will change, I'll put rain in the forecast but right now, I see nothing past Saturday to worry about.
Jeremy Moses
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
ALERT: Flooding Issues Across NKY
4:40 PM: CVG 71°, Light Rain, Thunder, Fog
Flooding problems are scattered across much of Northern Kentucky right now. I-75 at US 42 had the left lanes blocked both ways as of 4:30 PM...Kentucky Highway 18 was CLOSED at Zig Zag Road between Florence and Burlington due to high water...and Turkeyfoot Road was partially blocked due to high water in Kenton County.
For the next couple of hours expect heavy rain to move across southern Campbell and Clermont...central Brown...and north-central Adams Counties. This rain could drop an inch an hour, and cause flooding of low-lying areas. STAY ALERT AND STAY AWAY FROM FLOODWATERS.
Jeremy Moses
Flooding problems are scattered across much of Northern Kentucky right now. I-75 at US 42 had the left lanes blocked both ways as of 4:30 PM...Kentucky Highway 18 was CLOSED at Zig Zag Road between Florence and Burlington due to high water...and Turkeyfoot Road was partially blocked due to high water in Kenton County.
For the next couple of hours expect heavy rain to move across southern Campbell and Clermont...central Brown...and north-central Adams Counties. This rain could drop an inch an hour, and cause flooding of low-lying areas. STAY ALERT AND STAY AWAY FROM FLOODWATERS.
Jeremy Moses
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